As the 2026 NRL season approaches, excitement is palpable across the league. Teams are gearing up with high expectations, but how realistic are these aspirations? With the first trial game just weeks away, the pre-season training buzz must translate into on-field performance.
While some teams like the Brisbane Broncos, Penrith Panthers, and Melbourne Storm have a proven track record, others are still finding their footing. Here’s a detailed look at each team’s potential ceiling and floor for the upcoming season.
Brisbane Broncos: Dynasty or Hangover?
The Brisbane Broncos broke a 19-year premiership drought in 2025, and expectations are high for a repeat performance. With superstars like Reece Walsh and Ezra Mam, the Broncos are favorites to claim the Provan-Summons trophy again. However, the threat of a premiership hangover looms large, especially given their history of falling out of the top eight after a grand final appearance.
Ceiling: 1st | Floor: 4th-5th
Adam Reynolds, nearing the end of his career, remains a pivotal figure, but the team’s depth provides a safety net. The Broncos’ challenge will be maintaining momentum in a competitive league where the top teams are closely matched.
Canberra Raiders: From Underdogs to Contenders
The Canberra Raiders were the feel-good story of 2025, defying expectations to become minor premiers. Despite losing star halfback Jamal Fogarty, the Raiders’ youthful core and X-factor players could keep them competitive. The team faces skepticism, particularly with unproven talent like Ethan Sanders stepping into key roles.
Ceiling: 1st | Floor: 7th-8th
The Raiders’ ability to replicate their 2025 success will hinge on their adaptability and the continued development of young stars, making them a team to watch.
Bulldogs and Sharks: Consistency Meets Potential
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
The Bulldogs have transformed under coach Cameron Ciraldo, finishing third in 2025. With Lachlan Galvin now settled into the team, the Bulldogs are poised for a strong 2026. Their goal is clear: a top-four finish and a potential premiership run.
Ceiling: 1st | Floor: 5th-6th
Galvin’s integration and the team’s overall cohesion will be critical as they aim to capitalize on their upward trajectory.
Cronulla Sharks
Known for their consistency, the Cronulla Sharks have been a regular in the top eight. Despite lacking star power, their settled lineup and strong combinations make them formidable opponents. The loss of Ronaldo Mulitalo is a setback, but the Sharks have capable replacements ready to step up.
Ceiling: 3rd-4th | Floor: 7th-8th
The Sharks’ challenge will be converting consistency into a top-four finish, a task that requires both strategic play and a bit of luck.
Emerging Contenders: Dolphins and Titans
Dolphins
Entering their fourth season, the Dolphins are on the cusp of a finals appearance. With key players returning from injury, including Tom Flegler and Herbie Farnworth, the Dolphins have the talent to break into the top four.
Ceiling: 4th-5th | Floor: 9th-10th
Their success will depend on maintaining fitness and capitalizing on their roster’s potential.
Gold Coast Titans
Under new coach Josh Hannay, the Titans are undergoing a transformation. While initial roster changes may pose challenges, the team boasts talent like Tino Fa’asuamaleaui and AJ Brimson. The Titans’ potential hinges on Hannay’s ability to harness this talent effectively.
Ceiling: 7th-8th | Floor: 14th-15th
The Titans’ journey will be one of growth, with a top-eight finish within reach if they gel quickly.
Traditional Powerhouses: Storm and Panthers
Melbourne Storm
The Storm are eager to reclaim premiership glory after falling short in recent seasons. Despite key departures, the team remains strong with a spine featuring Harry Grant and Cam Munster. Their success will depend on unheralded players stepping up to fill gaps.
Ceiling: 1st | Floor: 5th-6th
The Storm’s resilience and depth will be tested as they aim to stay at the top.
Penrith Panthers
After a stunning run of four consecutive titles, the Panthers are rebuilding while maintaining a strong core. With smart recruitment and a hunger to return to the top, Penrith is well-positioned for success.
Ceiling: 1st | Floor: 6th-7th
The Panthers’ journey will be one of balancing experience with fresh talent as they seek to reclaim their dominance.
Teams on the Rebound: Rabbitohs and Dragons
South Sydney Rabbitohs
Under Wayne Bennett, the Rabbitohs are poised for improvement after a challenging 2025. With key players returning from injury, the team has the potential to make a significant impact.
Ceiling: 6th-7th | Floor: 13th-14th
The Rabbitohs’ success will depend on staying healthy and addressing depth concerns.
St. George Illawarra Dragons
The Dragons face an uphill battle with a roster lacking star power. New additions like Dan Atkinson offer hope, but the team must overcome significant challenges to climb the ladder.
Ceiling: 9th-10th | Floor: 17th
The Dragons’ season will be defined by their ability to compete despite limitations.
Conclusion: A Season of Possibilities
The 2026 NRL season promises excitement and unpredictability. With teams like the Eels and Tigers on the rise, and traditional powerhouses like the Broncos and Panthers vying for supremacy, fans can expect a thrilling competition. As the season unfolds, the league’s dynamic landscape will challenge teams to adapt and excel in pursuit of glory.
