As the National Basketball League (NBL) gears up for its 2025-26 season, teams have been busy reshaping their rosters in an off-season marked by high-profile moves and strategic overhauls. With the league’s 26th season on the horizon, fans and analysts alike are eager to see which teams have positioned themselves for success and which might face a challenging year ahead.
Foxsports.com.au has taken a deep dive into the off-season activities of each of the ten NBL clubs, grading their performance and predicting their fortunes for the upcoming season.
Adelaide 36ers: A Star-Studded Transformation
The Adelaide 36ers have made a bold statement this off-season, determined to end their 23-year championship drought. The recruitment of five-time league MVP Bryce Cotton from the Perth Wildcats has been a game-changer, instantly elevating the 36ers to title favorites. Alongside Cotton, former NBA player Montrezl Harrell and sharpshooter Dejan Vasiljević add significant firepower to the roster.
However, the key to Adelaide’s success will be chemistry. Last season’s locker room tensions must be resolved for the team to capitalize on its talent. With a predicted record of 22-11, the 36ers are poised to make a deep playoff run, provided they can gel as a unit.
Brisbane Bullets: Building for a Breakthrough
After six seasons without a playoff appearance, the Brisbane Bullets are looking to change their fortunes. The addition of former MVP Jaylen Adams and star import Casey Prather bolsters a lineup that already includes New Zealand’s Tyrell Harrison. First-year head coach Stu Lash is tasked with harnessing this talent into a cohesive unit.
With a predicted record of 18-15, the Bullets have the potential to not only reach the playoffs but also challenge for the championship. The team’s success will hinge on Lash’s ability to manage expectations and foster team chemistry.
Cairns Taipans: A New Era of Optimism
The Cairns Taipans have undergone a significant transformation, bringing in key players like Jack McVeigh and Admiral Schofield. Under the guidance of returning coach Adam Forde, the Taipans aim to climb the standings after finishing 8th and 10th in recent seasons.
Despite the setback of losing star forward Sam Waardenburg to injury, the Taipans remain resilient. Their revamped roster and Forde’s leadership could see them push for a finals appearance, with a predicted record of 17-16.
Illawarra Hawks: Defending the Title
Following their championship win in NBL25, the Illawarra Hawks face the challenge of defending their title without key players like Trey Kell III. The acquisition of three-time NBA champion JaVale McGee is a significant boost, but the team must adapt to the loss of several key contributors.
Coach Justin Tatum’s tactical expertise will be crucial as the Hawks aim to remain competitive. With a predicted record of 13-20, the Hawks face an uphill battle to repeat last season’s success.
Melbourne United: Aiming for Redemption
After consecutive Grand Final defeats, Melbourne United is determined to reclaim their spot at the top. The signing of Milton Doyle from the Tasmania JackJumpers is a major coup, providing leadership and experience to a roster that has undergone significant changes.
With a predicted record of 20-13, United is expected to be a strong contender once again. Coach Dean Vickerman’s emphasis on culture and resilience will be key to their success.
New Zealand Breakers: A Fresh Start
Following a disappointing season, the New Zealand Breakers have made significant changes, including the addition of Izaiah Brockington and Rob Baker II. Under new management, the Breakers aim to return to the playoffs with a predicted record of 16-17.
The return of Parker Jackson-Cartwright and the influx of local talent provide a solid foundation for the team’s resurgence.
Perth Wildcats: A New Chapter
The departure of Bryce Cotton marks the end of an era for the Perth Wildcats. However, the team has regrouped with the signing of Mason Jones and Jo Lual-Acuil Jr., creating a formidable frontcourt.
With a predicted record of 21-12, the Wildcats remain a championship contender, though questions remain about their playmaking capabilities.
South East Melbourne Phoenix: Navigating Uncertainty
The Phoenix have faced a tumultuous off-season, with key departures and the release of promising imports. Despite these challenges, the addition of John Brown III and the development of Malique Lewis offer hope for the future.
With a predicted record of 15-18, the Phoenix are a mid-table team, with their success largely dependent on future signings.
Sydney Kings: Adjusting to Change
The Sydney Kings have made strategic moves, including the signing of Matthew Dellavedova and Kendric Davis. The addition of Andrew Bogut as Assistant Coach brings valuable experience to the team.
Despite the loss of Keli Leaupepe to injury, the Kings remain a strong contender with a predicted record of 18-15. Their success will depend on their ability to integrate new players and maintain their competitive edge.
Tasmania JackJumpers: Defending the Island
The JackJumpers, NBL24 champions, have undergone significant roster changes but remain committed to their defensive identity. The addition of Josh Bannan and Tyger Campbell provides new offensive options.
With a predicted record of 19-14, the JackJumpers are poised to be a formidable opponent once again, leveraging their home-court advantage at MyState Bank Arena.
As the NBL26 season approaches, each team’s off-season moves will be put to the test. The league is set for one of its most competitive seasons yet, with multiple teams eyeing the championship. Only time will tell which clubs will emerge as the true winners of this off-season.
