The NBL season is upon us, and with it comes a fresh wave of excitement and speculation. After an off-season filled with dramatic player movements and strategic reshuffles, teams are ready to make their statements on the court. Ahead of the tip-off for game one, analysts Jai Shadlow and Josh Higgins from Fox Sports have shared their bold predictions for the NBL26 season.
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Adelaide 36ers: Bryce Cotton’s Influence
Jai Shadlow predicts that the presence of Bryce Cotton will extinguish any off-court drama for the Adelaide 36ers. Known as the greatest import in NBL history, Cotton brings not only his scoring prowess and five MVP titles but also an intangible quality: respect.
Last season, the 36ers experienced more drama than most reality TV shows, but the return of high-character players like Montrzl Harrell aims to stabilize the team. The recent departure of Kendric Davis, who was reportedly a source of locker room tension, further clears the path for Cotton to become the team’s leading voice. Shadlow believes Cotton’s legendary status will prevent any potential conflicts from escalating.
Brisbane Bullets: Coaching Challenges
The Brisbane Bullets face a critical juncture as they enter the season with Stu Lash at the helm. Despite assembling their best roster in years, Lash’s lack of coaching experience raises questions about his ability to lead the team to success. The Bullets have not reached the top six since NBL21, and fans are eager for a turnaround.
While Shadlow does not advocate for anyone’s job being at risk, he notes that if the Bullets start the season winless in their first five games, Lash’s position will undoubtedly come under scrutiny. The pressure is on for Lash to prove he is the right fit for the job.
Cairns Taipans: Overcoming Setbacks
The Cairns Taipans had a historic off-season, signing an entire starting five within a week after over 100 days of inactivity. However, recent setbacks have cast doubt on their prospects. The team has lost Ashton Hagans due to visa issues, will be without Sam Waardenburg for several months due to a foot injury, and new import Andrew Andrews will miss the opening game.
Shadlow expresses skepticism about the Taipans’ ability to perform without these key players, predicting they will struggle to secure a top-six finish. He anticipates a challenging start to the season, with the team potentially going 0-6 after Round 4.
Illawarra Hawks: Competitive Resurgence
Despite concerns of a championship hangover, the Illawarra Hawks are poised to remain competitive under coach Justin Tatum’s leadership. While not expected to finish in the top three, the Hawks have the potential to secure a spot in the finals, especially if JaVale McGee stays healthy.
Will Hickey is set for another significant increase in production and could be a candidate for Most Improved Player. The Hawks have undergone a major transformation, but the core of a champion remains intact.
Melbourne United: Testing Depth
Melbourne United faces an early test with the absence of Chris Goulding, who will miss the first two rounds due to a quad injury. Goulding’s ability to influence defenses with his three-point shooting is well-known, and his absence will challenge United’s depth.
Despite a strong pre-season performance, the real challenge begins as they face the Tasmania Jackjumpers. Coach Vickerman will need to demonstrate the team’s resilience and adaptability without their star player. Shadlow remains optimistic about United’s championship prospects but acknowledges that Goulding’s health will be a critical factor.
New Zealand Breakers: Karim Lopez’s Rising Star
Josh Higgins highlights Karim Lopez as a standout talent poised for a top-three pick in the 2026 NBA Draft. At just 17 years old, Lopez impressed during NBL25 with averages of 9.6 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 1.2 assists while shooting 46% from the field.
Entering his second season, Lopez benefits from experience, confidence, and a stronger team. His potential to rise in the NBA draft rankings is undeniable, and a strong performance in NBL26 could solidify his status as a top prospect.
South East Melbourne Phoenix: Malique Lewis’s Breakout
Malique Lewis is ready to transition from prospect to star in NBL26. After a promising rookie season, Lewis has improved his defense, expanded his offensive skills, and gained confidence under Coach Josh King’s guidance.
With his size, athleticism, and two-way ability, Lewis is set to elevate his performance and energize the Phoenix. His development could position him as one of the NBL’s emerging stars with NBA potential.
Sydney Kings: Championship Aspirations
The Sydney Kings have set their sights on winning the championship with star recruits Kendric Davis and Matthew Dellavedova. However, injuries to key frontcourt players and questions about their outside shooting pose challenges to their ambitions.
Despite their star power, the Kings must address these concerns to meet expectations. The lack of consistent three-point threats and doubts about last season’s game plan could hinder their progress.
Perth Wildcats: Championship Contenders
The Perth Wildcats are poised to dominate NBL26 with a roster that combines new signings and returning stars. With elite rim protection from Jo Lual-Acuil Jr and perimeter versatility from Sunday Dech, the Wildcats are built to excel on both ends of the floor.
Offensively, the team boasts firepower from players like Kristian Doolittle and new import Mason Jones. The Wildcats aim to write their own championship script, continuing their legacy of success.
Tasmania JackJumpers: Defensive Prowess
Will Magnay is set to claim the NBL’s Defensive Player of the Year award, leading the Tasmania JackJumpers with his defensive impact. Magnay’s averages of 1.6 blocks, 1.2 steals, and 7.1 rebounds in just 13 games last season highlight his value.
With a healthy campaign, Magnay will anchor the JackJumpers’ defense as they pursue a championship. His leadership and defensive prowess make him a key player to watch in NBL26.
The NBL26 season promises to be one of excitement and unpredictability, with rising stars and championship contenders vying for success. As teams take to the court, fans and analysts alike will be watching closely to see which predictions come to fruition and which surprises unfold.
