25 August, 2025
afl-s-struggling-teams-analyzing-the-bottom-nine-and-their-path-to-redemption-in-2026

As the 2025 AFL season concludes for half of the competition, the harsh reality sets in for the bottom nine teams: their seasons were failures. While some clubs may find solace in minor victories or player development, the ultimate goal of reaching the finals eluded them all. With the off-season looming, these teams face critical decisions to prevent a repeat of their disappointing performances in 2026.

Sydney Swans: A Tale of Two Halves

What Went Right

The Sydney Swans ended their season on a high note, winning eight of their final ten games to finish with a 12-11 record. This late surge was fueled by a revived focus on clearances, with the team ranking fifth in the league. Ruckman Brodie Grundy returned to form, and Isaac Heeney shone as a forward-midfielder. The Swans also secured Chad Warner’s re-signing, a significant boost for the club’s future.

What Went Wrong

The Swans’ early-season struggles were their undoing. A devastating 90-point loss to Adelaide in Round 12 left them at 4-8, effectively ending their finals hopes. Injuries to key players like Callum Mills and Tom Papley compounded their woes. Additionally, the experiment of moving Tom McCartin forward failed, and the team’s offensive output dropped significantly compared to 2024.

Looking Forward

To compete in 2026, the Swans must bolster their roster, particularly in the forward and defensive arcs. The potential acquisition of Charlie Curnow could be transformative, echoing past successes with players like Tony Lockett and Lance Franklin. Strengthening their intercept defense is also crucial as they prepare for another finals push.

Carlton Blues: A Season of Unfulfilled Potential

What Went Right

Carlton’s defense was a bright spot, ranking fourth in points against during the first half of the season. Jacob Weitering’s leadership in defense was pivotal, and George Hewett had a career-best season. Despite trade rumors, Tom De Koning performed admirably in the ruck, showcasing the team’s potential.

What Went Wrong

The Blues’ season was marred by inconsistency and injuries. Key players like Charlie Curnow and Sam Walsh missed significant time, disrupting team cohesion. Carlton’s ball movement struggled, ranking poorly in several offensive metrics. The pressure mounted on coach Michael Voss, though he remains at the helm for 2026.

Future Prospects

To improve, Carlton needs to enhance their forward line, particularly with small forwards capable of creating scoring opportunities. The return of Jagga Smith and potential trades could provide the necessary boost. The club’s draft strategy, including father-son prospects, will be crucial in shaping their future.

St Kilda Saints: Building for the Future

What Went Right

The Saints secured a major victory off the field by re-signing Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera, a rising star. Their young core, including Max Hall and Marcus Windhager, showed promise. St Kilda’s post-bye performance improved significantly, reflecting a modern game style under coach Ross Lyon.

What Went Wrong

Injuries to key players like Max King hindered the Saints’ progress. Defensive lapses and inconsistent performances plagued their season, resulting in a mid-table finish. Player unrest over aggressive recruitment strategies also surfaced, though it did not affect on-field results.

Next Steps

St Kilda aims to strengthen their defense with the acquisition of Leek Aleer and pursue Tom De Koning to enhance their ruck-forward options. The club’s aggressive off-season strategy suggests a commitment to building a competitive list around their young talent.

Port Adelaide: Transitioning Under New Leadership

What Went Right

Port Adelaide’s pressure game remained strong, ranking in the top six for the fourth consecutive year. The emergence of Miles Bergman in the midfield was a highlight, and Mitch Georgiades’ goal-scoring prowess was impressive. The mid-season draft brought promising talent to the club.

What Went Wrong

The coaching transition from Ken Hinkley to Josh Carr was tumultuous, contributing to a disappointing season. Injuries to key players like Jack Lukosius and Sam Powell-Pepper further complicated matters. The team’s defensive struggles were evident, with a significant drop in key metrics.

Future Outlook

Port Adelaide needs to reinforce their defense, particularly with aging players like Aliir Aliir nearing the end of their careers. The retention of Zak Butters and a healthy roster could see the team return to finals contention. The upcoming off-season will be pivotal in shaping their 2026 campaign.

Melbourne Demons: A Season of Transition

What Went Right

Melbourne’s mid-season adjustments improved their forward 50 connection, with significant gains in scoring efficiency. The emergence of Harvey Langford and Daniel Turner’s successful switch to defense provided hope for the future. Max Gawn’s leadership remained a stabilizing force.

What Went Wrong

The dismissal of coach Simon Goodwin marked the end of an era, overshadowing the team’s progress. Defensive frailties were exposed, with the Demons conceding their highest average points since 2019. The uncertainty surrounding key players like Christian Petracca added to the challenges.

Path Forward

Melbourne’s priority is securing a new coach and bolstering their forward line. The pursuit of a key forward like Harry McKay could address their scoring deficiencies. Despite a challenging season, the Demons’ experienced roster suggests potential for a resurgence in 2026.

As these teams reflect on their 2025 campaigns, the off-season presents an opportunity for strategic adjustments and player acquisitions. With the right moves, the bottom nine can aim to transform their fortunes and re-enter the finals race in 2026.