As the AFL 2025 season progresses past Round 16, the power dynamics within the league are becoming increasingly pronounced. This season has seen a clear division between the top and bottom nine teams, setting the stage for potential upsets as contenders face off against pretenders this weekend.
The current power rankings reflect the performances and prospects of each club, taking into account not just wins and losses, but also the quality of opposition and potential for improvement. With the contenders all playing against lower-ranked teams this weekend, the question remains: which top team is most at risk of an upset?
Collingwood’s Consistency Under Scrutiny
Leading the pack, Collingwood maintains its top position with a record of 13-2 and a percentage of 135.8%. Despite their success, recent performances have raised questions about whether the Magpies are merely cruising through easier games or if there’s a genuine dip in form. Their narrow victories over Melbourne, St Kilda, and West Coast suggest potential vulnerabilities.
This week, Collingwood faces Carlton at the MCG on Friday at 7:20 pm. The outcome of this match could provide further insights into their true form as they prepare to face tougher opponents.
Brisbane Lions and Geelong: The Battle for Second
Meanwhile, the Brisbane Lions, who had a bye last week, remain in second place with a record of 10-4-1. Their upcoming matches against Port Adelaide and Carlton are critical as they aim to solidify their position in the top four. Brisbane’s ability to maintain their strong record against lower-ranked teams will be key to their success.
Geelong also had a bye last week and currently sits in third place. With one of the easiest remaining schedules, the Cats are well-positioned to capitalize on their favorable draw. Their upcoming match against Richmond at GMHBA Stadium will be crucial as they aim to build momentum and improve their percentage.
Adelaide Crows and Hawthorn: Dark Horses in the Race
The Adelaide Crows are riding high after a dominant 68-point victory over Richmond, boasting the best percentage in the league at 139.8%. With a relatively favorable schedule ahead, including five home games, the Crows are poised to secure a finals spot. Their next match against Melbourne at Adelaide Oval will be a test of their consistency.
Hawthorn, fresh off an 85-point thrashing of North Melbourne, is showing glimpses of their potential. While they remain a wildcard in the finals race, their upcoming matches against St Kilda, Fremantle, and Carlton will be pivotal in determining their fate. The Hawks’ ability to maintain form will be crucial as they aim to secure a spot in the finals.
Western Bulldogs and GWS Giants: On the Cusp
The Western Bulldogs, after a narrow 9-point victory over Sydney, are well within reach of the top four. Their ability to win close games will be tested again this week against North Melbourne. With a strong percentage and a favorable schedule, the Bulldogs are in a prime position to push for a top-four finish.
The GWS Giants, returning from a bye, find themselves outside the top eight. Despite a challenging path ahead, the Giants have a clear opportunity to secure a finals spot with winnable games against lower-ranked teams. Their match against West Coast Eagles at Optus Stadium will be crucial in their pursuit of a September berth.
Fremantle and Gold Coast Suns: Fighting for Finals
Fremantle is at risk of slipping out of the top eight, facing a tough schedule with matches against Sydney, Hawthorn, and Collingwood. Their recent six-game winning streak has kept them in contention, but they must navigate these challenges to secure a finals spot.
The Gold Coast Suns, after a vital win over Melbourne, are in a precarious position. With a high-scoring offense but a vulnerable defense, their ability to secure wins against lower-ranked teams like Essendon will be key to their finals aspirations.
Implications and Future Outlook
The current power rankings highlight the competitive nature of the AFL 2025 season, with several teams vying for top positions and finals spots. As the season progresses, the performances of these teams against both contenders and pretenders will shape the final standings.
With the finals race heating up, teams must capitalize on favorable matchups and maintain consistency to secure their positions. The coming weeks will be critical in determining which teams will emerge as true contenders and which will falter under pressure.
Stay tuned as the AFL 2025 season continues to unfold, with each round bringing new surprises and shifts in the power rankings.
