Welcome back to the AFL 2025 Power Rankings. As the season progresses past Round 16, the competition is heating up with a clear divide between the top nine and bottom nine teams. This weekend, the contenders face off against the pretenders, setting the stage for potential upsets. Let’s delve into the rankings of every AFL club from best to worst and analyze the current landscape of the league.
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Understanding the Power Rankings
The Power Rankings are a blend of current performance and future potential. Wins and losses are crucial, but the quality of opposition and the likelihood of teams improving or recovering from injuries also play significant roles. It’s a mix of “who’s hot and who’s not,” combining predictive elements with analysis of past performances. If Team A is ranked above Team B, it’s likely we’d tip Team A to win in a neutral venue matchup this weekend.
Top of the Ladder: Collingwood
1. Collingwood (13-2, 135.8%)
Collingwood retains its top spot after a 29-point victory over West Coast. However, questions linger about whether they are intentionally coasting through easier games or if there are genuine concerns about their form. Last year, Sydney faced a similar situation, recovering post-bye only to falter in the Grand Final. The Magpies have been tested by Melbourne, St Kilda, and West Coast recently, raising slight concerns. Their upcoming clash with Carlton at the MCG will be telling.
Upcoming Match: Carlton at the MCG, Friday 7:20pm
Brisbane Lions and Geelong: Strong Contenders
2. Brisbane Lions (10-4-1, 113.4%)
Despite a bye week, the Lions saw their lead over the top eight narrow as other contenders secured wins. Brisbane’s fixture has been challenging, yet they remain competitive. Their draw against North Melbourne currently keeps them in second place, but the upcoming matches against Port Adelaide and Carlton are crucial for maintaining their position.
Upcoming Match: Port Adelaide at the Gabba, Saturday 7:35pm
3. Geelong (10-5, 127.5%)
The Cats, also coming off a bye, have the easiest remaining schedule. With a focus on improving their goalkicking, Geelong aims to capitalize on their favorable draw to climb the ladder. Their match against Richmond is an opportunity to boost their percentage, essential for securing a top-four finish.
Upcoming Match: Richmond at GMHBA Stadium, Saturday 4:15pm
Mid-Table Dynamics
4. Adelaide Crows (10-5, 139.8%)
Adelaide boasts the best percentage in the competition and is predicted to finish third. With a series of home games and favorable road trips, the Crows are well-positioned for a strong finish. However, fans remain cautious, aware of the potential for unexpected losses. Adelaide’s exciting style of play has them poised as a contender for the foreseeable future.
Upcoming Match: Melbourne at Adelaide Oval, Sunday 3:15pm
5. Hawthorn (10-5, 118.4%)
Hawthorn’s recent thrashing of North Melbourne showcased their potential. While not yet declared as true flag contenders, the Hawks have a wide range of outcomes possible in this finals race. Their upcoming matches against St Kilda and others will be critical in securing a finals berth.
Upcoming Match: St Kilda at Marvel Stadium, Saturday 7:40pm
Western Bulldogs and GWS Giants: On the Fringe
6. Western Bulldogs (9-6, 131.5%)
The Bulldogs secured a narrow victory over Sydney, benefiting from an unexpected scoreline. With the top-four within reach, the Bulldogs must capitalize on their ability to dominate weaker teams. Their upcoming match against North Melbourne is crucial for maintaining momentum.
Upcoming Match: North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium, Thursday 7:30pm
7. GWS Giants (9-6, 107.6%)
Returning from a bye, the Giants find themselves outside the top eight. With a clear path to 13 wins, GWS must navigate their remaining fixtures carefully. Despite predictions to miss the finals, their potential to secure a spot remains strong.
Upcoming Match: West Coast Eagles at Optus Stadium, Friday 8:20pm
Chasing the Finals: Fremantle and Gold Coast
8. Fremantle (10-5, 110.4%)
The Dockers face a challenging run home, with a tough fixture ahead. Despite a six-game winning streak, they must secure victories in difficult games to clinch a finals spot. Their upcoming match against Sydney is pivotal in maintaining their position.
Upcoming Match: Sydney Swans at the SCG, Sunday 1:10pm
9. Gold Coast Suns (9-5, 120.3%)
The Suns’ victory over Melbourne was crucial in their quest for a finals spot. With a potent attack but a vulnerable defense, Gold Coast remains an exciting team to watch. Their match against Essendon is essential for building momentum before facing tougher opponents.
Upcoming Match: Essendon at Marvel Stadium, Saturday 12:35pm
Outside Contenders and the Road Ahead
10. Sydney Swans (6-9, 92.1%)
Despite improved form, the Swans’ finals hopes are slim. However, they can significantly impact the finals race by defeating teams like Fremantle and GWS. Their current trajectory offers hope for a stronger 2026 season.
Upcoming Match: Fremantle at the SCG, Sunday 1:10pm
11. Port Adelaide (7-8, 88.6%)
Port Adelaide’s recent win offers temporary relief from coaching pressure. With a tough schedule ahead, they are expected to finish around 10th, aligning with preseason predictions.
Upcoming Match: Brisbane Lions at the Gabba, Saturday 7:35pm
As the AFL season continues, each round brings new challenges and opportunities for teams to solidify their positions. With the finals race tightening, every match carries significant weight, promising an exciting conclusion to the 2025 season.
