The 2026 AFL season may seem distant, but with the conclusion of the trade period, fans and analysts are already speculating about the fate of their favorite clubs. With eight teams positioned as potential flag contenders, four more as finals hopefuls, and six battling to rise from the bottom six, the landscape is set for an intriguing season.
Foxfooty.com.au has assessed all 18 AFL clubs to predict their standings in the upcoming season, offering insights into who might challenge for the top-eight and who could face a decline.
Flag Contenders: The Battle for Glory
Brisbane Lions
The Brisbane Lions are the least surprising flag contenders, having secured back-to-back premierships. The addition of Oscar Allen and Sam Draper strengthens their already formidable squad. Despite losing Brandon Starcevich, the Lions’ depth remains unmatched, making them the favorites for a third consecutive title.
Collingwood
Collingwood, the oldest team in V/AFL history, remains a strong contender despite their aging roster. The departure of Brody Mihocek is offset by the arrival of Jack Buller. With veterans like Mason Cox and Tom Mitchell delisted, the Magpies are banking on their younger talent to step up.
Fremantle
Fremantle’s rise has been steady, and 2026 could be their year. The recruitment of Judd McVee bolsters their defense, and with a strong spine, they are poised for a top-four finish. However, the retirements of key players could test their depth.
Geelong
After reaching the 2025 grand finals, Geelong remains a formidable force. With veterans like Patrick Dangerfield leading, the team balances experience with emerging talent. Yet, their reliance on older players presents a ticking clock scenario.
Gold Coast Suns
Entering the premiership window for the first time, the Gold Coast Suns have strengthened their roster with Christian Petracca and Jamarra Ugle-Hagan. However, their success hinges on maintaining a healthy list, as depth could be an issue if injuries arise.
GWS Giants
The Giants’ potential is undeniable, but consistency is key. With Clayton Oliver joining and Leek Aleer retained, their depth is impressive. Translating this talent into consistent performances will be crucial for their premiership aspirations.
Hawthorn
Hawthorn’s progress under Sam Mitchell has been promising. Despite missing out on Zach Merrett, their midfield remains strong. The departure of James Worpel is a setback, but expectations remain high for a deep finals run.
Sydney Swans
The Swans aim to rebound from an injury-plagued 2025. With Charlie Curnow’s addition and a full season under coach Dean Cox, they are well-positioned for a strong campaign. However, key defensive stocks remain a concern if injuries persist.
Finals Contenders: On the Cusp of Success
Adelaide Crows
Adelaide’s rapid rise in 2025 sets high expectations. However, a tougher fixture and a lack of marquee midfielders could hinder their top-eight ambitions. Their straight-sets finals exit indicates they might need another season to become genuine flag contenders.
Port Adelaide
Port Adelaide narrowly makes the finals contender cut. Despite notable list flaws, their core talent is strong, and a favorable fixture could see them sneak into the top eight. New coach Josh Carr faces the challenge of addressing these issues early.
St Kilda
With heightened expectations, St Kilda must deliver in 2026. The retention of Rowan Marshall and emerging talent like Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera positions them well. However, their forward-line structure remains a vulnerability.
Western Bulldogs
The Bulldogs are poised for a finals push, relying on their depth and emerging stars. Consistency and injury management will be vital to their success.
Bottom Six: The Struggle for Improvement
Carlton
Carlton faces skepticism after significant off-season turnover and the loss of a Coleman Medallist. While key players like Jacob Weitering and Sam Walsh are crucial, their path to finals remains challenging amid strong competition.
Essendon
Essendon’s injury woes in 2025 hindered their performance. While their best 23 will look different in 2026, midfield concerns persist. The departure of senior players opens opportunities for youth, but experience and leadership are lacking.
Melbourne
Melbourne’s new coach, Steven King, faces a tough task. The loss of Christian Petracca and Clayton Oliver leaves a midfield void. While Jack Steele’s inclusion is positive, the Demons need significant improvement to escape the bottom six.
North Melbourne
North Melbourne’s potential remains untapped. A quiet trade period and lack of a first-round draft pick limit their immediate prospects. However, young talents like Harry Sheezel and George Wardlaw offer hope for the future.
Richmond
Richmond’s disappointing 2025 season sets a low bar for 2026. With limited off-season additions, their focus is on youth development. The Tigers aim for gradual improvement, eyeing a more competitive 2027.
West Coast Eagles
West Coast’s outlook for 2026 mirrors their struggles in 2025. Key departures weaken their depth, but defensive additions offer some hope. With additional rookie list spots, the Eagles aim to rebuild and climb the ladder.
The 2026 AFL season promises excitement and challenges as clubs vie for supremacy. With flag contenders poised for glory and others striving to rise from the bottom, fans can expect a thrilling year of Australian Rules football.
