2 September, 2025
macquarie-s-top-asx-200-picks-a-sector-by-sector-analysis

In the wake of the earnings season, leading broker Macquarie has unveiled its top picks from the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) for the coming year. With a focus on capital growth, these recommendations span across all 11 market sectors, offering insights into potential investment opportunities.

Macquarie employs a three-tier rating system—outperform, neutral, and underperform—to evaluate stocks. This article highlights some of the ASX 200 shares that have received an outperform rating, indicating strong growth potential based on their recent financial results.

Healthcare Sector: Resilience Amidst Challenges

Despite a recent downturn, Macquarie remains optimistic about CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL), a heavyweight in the healthcare sector. Following a 17% increase in net profit to US$3 billion in its FY25 report, CSL’s shares experienced a significant drop. However, Macquarie’s price target of $295.90 suggests a potential 40% upside.

Polynovo Ltd (ASX: PNV) also garners attention with a price target of $2, indicating a 50% increase from its current trading price. This reflects the broker’s confidence in the biotech’s growth trajectory following its FY25 results.

Materials and Technology: Mining and Innovation

Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST), the largest ASX 200 gold share, is among Macquarie’s top picks in the materials sector. With a price target of $24, the broker anticipates a 30% upside following the company’s FY25 report.

In the technology sector, Siteminder Ltd (ASX: SDR) stands out with a price target of $8.11, suggesting a 17% gain. This reflects the company’s robust performance and potential for future growth.

Financials and Industrials: Strategic Investments

Macquarie’s bullish stance on GQG Partners Inc (ASX: GQG) is evident with a price target of $2.63, indicating a potential 50% capital gain. Pinnacle Investment Management Ltd (ASX: PNI) is also favored for nearly 20% growth, with a target price of $25.33.

In the industrials sector, Cleanaway Waste Management Ltd (ASX: CWY) is projected to achieve a 26% gain, with a price target of $3.50, underscoring the broker’s confidence in its post-FY25 performance.

Utilities and Consumer Sectors: Steady Growth

AGL Energy Limited (ASX: AGL) is poised for a 30% rise with a price target of $10.91, reflecting Macquarie’s positive outlook on the utilities sector. Meanwhile, Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX: TPW) in consumer discretionary is expected to see over 30% growth, with a price target of $31.30.

Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT) is another standout, with a 25% growth potential, as per Macquarie’s target of $16.55.

Real Estate, Consumer Staples, and Communications: Diverse Opportunities

In real estate, Lendlease Group (ASX: LLC) is set for a 20% upside with a price target of $6.74. Graincorp Ltd (ASX: GNC) in consumer staples is projected to achieve a 14% increase, despite not reporting in the recent earnings season.

Seek Ltd (ASX: SEK) in communications is expected to gain 17%, with a price target of $32.50, showcasing the broker’s faith in the online advertiser’s growth potential.

Energy Sector: Navigating Market Dynamics

Deep Yellow Ltd (ASX: DYL) is highlighted in the energy sector, with a price target of $2.05, suggesting a 13% upside. This follows the uranium miner’s positive performance in its June quarter results.

Macquarie’s selections reflect a strategic approach to capitalizing on sector-specific strengths and market conditions. Investors looking for growth opportunities in the ASX 200 may find these insights valuable as they navigate the complexities of the current economic landscape.