The race that stops the nation is upon us once more as the 2025 Melbourne Cup is set to be contested at Flemington on Tuesday. This year’s 165th running of the iconic event promises to be one of the most open in recent years, with Irish import Al Riffa and Caulfield Cup winner Half Yours — the sole Australian horse in the race — vying for favouritism among a strong field of contenders.
Recent steady rain in Melbourne has added an extra layer of complexity, as Cup hopefuls will need to navigate wet conditions. Although the track is expected to be rated soft, rather than heavy as initially anticipated, it still presents a challenge for those horses less adept at handling softer ground.
Favourites and Betting Frenzy
The betting landscape has shifted dramatically on Cup day, as significant money has come in for Al Riffa, altering the dynamics of the race. Previously, Half Yours held the position of favourite since the field was confirmed. However, Al Riffa, trained by Joseph O’Brien and considered one of Europe’s elite stayers, took over as the slight favourite early on Cup day.
Enthusiasts and bettors have been particularly active, with one notable $500,000 wager on Al Riffa potentially yielding a $4 million payout. As of 9am AEST, Al Riffa’s odds stood at $7 with the TAB, followed closely by Half Yours at $7.50, Presage Nocturne at $9, and Valiant King at $10.
Early Drama at Flemington
Flemington has already witnessed its share of drama, with the first race winner, Tornado Valley, surviving a protest. The horse crossed the finish line 0.35L ahead of runner-up Tales of Time, whose connections lodged a protest citing interference. However, stewards quickly dismissed the protest, affirming the original placings.
Weather and Track Conditions
Despite over 30mm of rain falling in Melbourne over the past 24 hours, the Melbourne Cup is likely to proceed on a Soft 6 track. This is a relief for horses that struggle in extremely wet conditions. Flemington track manager Liam O’Keeffe assured that the track would hold up well, stating, “We let the track dry right out following Derby night, so the rainfall has been good… but it is probably going to tip it into a soft 6 by the afternoon.”
Beyond Flemington: Sydney’s Big Dance
While Flemington garners the lion’s share of attention, Sydney’s Randwick Racecourse hosts its own high-stakes event, the ‘Big Dance,’ with a prize purse of $3 million. The rise of pop-up races in recent years, spearheaded by sports administrator Peter V’landys and Racing NSW, has bolstered the profile of Sydney racing, offering a competitive alternative to Melbourne’s spring events.
The Big Dance, although not yet as prestigious as the Everest, has seen increased attendance since its inception in 2022, indicating growing interest. For those looking for a tip, Tavi Time presents good value.
Melbourne Cup Day Schedule and Insights
The Melbourne Cup day schedule is packed with excitement, culminating in the Lexus Melbourne Cup at 3pm AEDT. This year’s prize pool is a substantial $10 million, an increase from last year’s $8 million, reflecting the event’s continued prestige and allure.
- 10.45am: Darley Maribyrnong Plate, 1000m, 2YO G3
- 11.20am: Ma Services Grand Handicap, 2000m, BM80
- 12pm: Tab Trophy, 3YO LR
- 12.40pm: The Schweppervescence Plate, 1000m, 3YO OPEN
- 1.20pm: Australian Heritage Cup, 2800m BM96
- 1.55pm: Kirin Ichiban Plate, 1800 LR
- 3pm: Lexus Melbourne Cup, 3200m G1
- 3.50pm: Lexus Amanda Elliott, 1400m 3YO Qlty LR
- 4.35pm: The Hong Kong Jockey Club Stakes, 1400, 4YO+G3 M
- 5.15pm: Channel 9 Trophy, 1400m BM90
This year’s Melbourne Cup is not just a race; it’s a celebration of tradition, competition, and the unpredictable nature of horse racing. As the day unfolds, all eyes will be on Flemington to see who will emerge victorious in this storied event.
